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Melbourne vs Geelong Tips - Back Cats to cover line

  • Preliminary Finals 1 will take place at Optus Stadium in Perth on Friday
  • Melbourne won both meetings against Geelong in the regular season
  • Melbourne have won their last 5 games
  • Geelong defeated GWS in the Semi-finals
  • Winner will advance to the Grand Final
cats demons AFL
The Cats and Demons face off in the Preliminary Finals. (Dylan Burns/AFL Photos via Getty Images)
The Dees have opened short-priced favourites ahead of their return to the Preliminary Finals on Friday night.

A convincing 33-point win over the Lions earned the Dees a week off, but more importantly, a chance to avenge their disappointment on this stage three years ago when they lost in a blowout to eventual premiers West Coast.

With fresh legs, the Dees will be hoping to punch their ticket to their first Grand Final since 2000, but nothing is a guarantee against an experienced Geelong outfit that was the underdog on this same day last year.

The Cats famously beat the Lions at the Gabba to book their spot against Richmond, and although their form leading into the finals was questionable, last week’s thorough beatdown over GWS reminded everyone that Chris Scott’s side can never be taken lightly.

It’s fair to say nobody knows that better than the Dees, though.

Melbourne erased a seven-goal half-time deficit against Geelong three weeks ago to win on the siren, a game both sides will likely spend much of the week reflecting back on.

That game, plus the Round 4 clash between the Dees and Cats, can help paint a picture when it comes to finding a play this week.

On both occasions, the Dees had their way inside 50, while they also took much better care of the footy and won the battle for contested marks.

A battle-hardened team like Geelong is capable of learning from those mistakes though, especially after spending an extra week in Perth.

Last week we saw the Cats’ forward line operate like it’s supposed to, while you also have to be wary of not only Melbourne’s history in big games, but also how detrimental the bye week has proven in recent years.

Verdict

After an embarrassing second-half collapse against this same Demons side three weeks ago, the Cats look a good bet to get some revenge and return to where they belong.

Best Bet: Geelong Cats +11.5 Line $2.00 at Ladbrokes Australia - 1 Unit
  • Bookmaker
    Bet Type
    Odds
  • Bookmaker
    Bet Type
    Geelong Cats +11.5
    Line
    Odds
    $2.00

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06 December 2021

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