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Spain vs France UEFA Nations League Tips - Les Bleus picked to win title

  • UEFA Nations League final will take place at Milan's San Siro Stadium on Sunday (14:00 BST)
  • Spain have won their last 3 games in all competitions
  • France are coming off back-to-back wins
  • This is the first meeting between the two teams since playing a friendly in 2017
France
France battle Spain for the Nations League title in Milan on Sunday. (MASSIMO RANA/POOL/AFP via Getty Images)
The 2021 Nations League final takes place at Milan's San Siro Stadium on Sunday.

Spain ended Italy’s long unbeaten run with a 2-1 success in the semi-final while France won a thriller, beating Belgium 3-2 with a last-gasp goal to reach the second edition of the final.

A brace from Manchester City’s Ferran Torres saw Spain end European champions Italy’s record 37-game unbeaten run at the San Siro on Wednesday night.

They now face fellow heavyweights France in the final, after Theo Hernandez struck a dramatic stoppage-time winner to cap an incredible second-half fightback against Belgium.

Torres’ first-half double, which came either side of a red card for Italy captain Leonardo Bonucci, condemned the longest unbeaten run in international football history to a footnote, as Spain avenged their European Championship semi-final defeat on penalties. Lorenzo Pellegrini’s late goal was scant consolation for the Italians.

Spain are 2.9 to beat the reigning world champions, who sealed their berth in the final thanks to Hernandez’s spectacular late winner against the world’s top-ranked team.

After Belgium dominated the first half and took a two-goal lead into the break, Karim Benzema pulled one back before Kylian Mbappe fired home an unstoppable penalty.

Yet there was late drama, as Romelu Lukaku had a winner ruled out for offside before Paul Pogba hit the bar from a free-kick at the other end, but Hernandez was able to find the net after finishing off a France counter-attack.

France are 2.5 to win the final in 90 minutes and 1.73 favourites to lift the trophy in the France v Spain betting tips.

The draw is available at odds of 3.1. There have been just seven draws between the pair in the 35 meetings since 1922.

France have only won two of the last nine meetings with Spain (D1 L6) although this will be their first clash since playing a friendly in March 2017, which Spain won 2-0 in Paris.

If historic trends hold firm, don’t expect too many goals. France and Spain have not registered more than two goals in each of their last seven meetings. Six of those seven meetings saw one or other side fail to net.

Torres went off injured after his first-half brace against 10-man Italy, but expects to be fit for Sunday’s final.

France did not appear to sustain any new injuries, with Mbappe back fit after missing last month’s 2-0 win over Finland.

Spain made a statement against Italy. Although Enrique’s side face a battle to qualify for the 2022 World Cup and were missing several key players, the likes of 17-year-old Gavi was grace personified in the midfield, and 18-year-old Yeremi Pina was outstanding on the right wing.

Italy were vulnerable at the back and did not help themselves with some poor defending, yet the way Belgium bossed France in the first half of the other semi-final suggests we are in for an intriguing final.

It will be interesting to see if France’s higher press in the second half, which was key to their win over Belgium, will be able to suffocate Spain – who are evens to lift the trophy – and allow their dynamic front three to see more of the ball.

Verdict

Expect a close final at San Siro and we are backing France to emerge victorious.

Best Bet: France Winner @150 at BetMGM - 1 Unit
news image Jonah Baker 10 Oct 2021 View more

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