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Italian Grand Prix Tips - Back Hamilton to triumph at Monza

  • The 2021 Italian Grand Prix will take place on Sunday (14:00 BST)
  • 53-lap race will be held at Autodromo Nazionale Monza on Sunday
  • Lewis Hamilton has won this event 5 times
  • Max Verstappen is coming off back-to-back wins in Belgium and the Netherlands
  • Pierre Gasly is the defending champion
Lewis Hamilton
Lewis Hamilton of Great Britain driving the (44) Mercedes AMG Petronas F1 Team Mercedes W12 during qualifying ahead of the F1 Grand Prix of Italy at Autodromo di Monza (Rudy Carezzevoli/Getty Images)
A week after the orange insanity of the Dutch Grand Prix, we’re off to Monza for a more traditional Formula 1 race.

Last week’s win in front of a sea of orange-clad Dutch fans has given Max Verstappen his second win in a row.

But now it’s Monza, a circuit where he’s never made the podium and where his Red Bull team hasn’t won since 2013.

On the flip side, Lewis Hamilton has won here five times, although the last time he did was back in 2018.

The last two Italian Grand Prix have been won by Pierre Gasly and Charles Leclerc, with last year’s race throwing up the unlikely podium of Gasly, Carlos Sainz and Lance Stroll.

Keep in mind, this is the second race with Sprint Qualifying, so anything can happen in the leadup.
  • BEST BET
  • Lewis Hamilton - Outright Winner (1.53)
  • NEXT BEST
  • Max Verstappen - Outright Winner (3.25)
  • VALUE BET
  • Charles Leclerc - Podium Finish (5.50)
  • RICCIARDO BET
  • Daniel Ricciardo - Top 6 Finish (2.10)

BEST BET


Lewis Hamilton - Outright Winner (1.53)

 
Verstappen has won two races in a row, but it’s hard to back him on a track where he’s had so little success. This is a fast track, more suited to Mercedes, but like most weeks, this bet is a coin flip.

NEXT BEST


Max Verstappen - Outright Winner (3.25)


Verstappen finished first in the last sprint qualifying race at Silverstone, only to be controversially run off the track by Hamilton. Verstappen and the Red Bull are in a good rhythm right now, so despite his lack of luck at Monza, this could be the year he breaks through.

VALUE BET


Charles Leclerc - Podium Finish (5.50)


Leclerc had a strong showing last week, finishing 5th and he did win the Italian Grand Prix two years ago. Valtteri Bottas is probably more likely to end up on the podium but Leclerc is better value.

RICCIARDO BET


Daniel Ricciardo - Top 6 Finish (2.10)


Both McLarens had dreadful performances at Zandvoort and while Ricciardo has never been on the podium here, he’s finished in the Top 6 four of the last five years, with the exception a DNF in 2018.

Verdict

We are backing Lewis Hamilton to get back on the top podium in Monza.

Best Bet: Lewis Hamilton To Win @-188.68 at BetMGM - 1 Unit
Next Bet: Max Verstappen To Win @225 at PlaySugarhouse Sport - 1 Unit
Value Bet: Charles Leclerc Podium Finish @450 at Caesars (Sport) - 1 Unit
news image Shane Reid 11 Sep 2021 View more

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