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Canterbury Bulldogs vs Newcastle Knights Tips - Under total points expected

  • Gold Coast's Cbus Super Stadium will play host to this Round 23 fixture on Saturday
  • The Bulldogs have lost their last 8 games
  • The Knights are out to extend their 3-game winning streak
  • The Knights beat the Bulldogs 32-16 at home in Round 1
bulldogs knights
The Knights are aiming for their second win over the Bulldogs this season. (Ashley Feder/Getty Images)
There are no certainties in Rugby League but in recent years one of the closest things to a sure thing is that when Canterbury and Newcastle meet, points will be short in coming.

Since 2008, when the Bulldogs and Knights have squared off, the teams have averaged a total of 37.2. The under has hit in 17 of those 21 matches. The teams have had just three games reach 48 points in that time. No game has topped 52 points since 2006.

Low-scoring games are the norm and it would be a surprise if anything changed with both of these teams in the bottom four in scoring. Newcastle rank 13th in scoring. Canterbury rank last.

Newcastle are a major under team this year with a 13-8 under record. Canterbury have gone under in three straight.

This is a major under spot for the Bulldogs. They are 29-13 when an underdog of more than eight points and they go under at 62% when they are off a double digit loss. The under is 10-5 when Newcastle are favoured by more than a converted try.

Verdict

The Knights should win this and they will win it on not conceding too many points.

Best Bet: Under 51.5 Total Points @-111.11 at BetMGM - 1 Unit
news image James Smith 19 Aug 2021 View more

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