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Parramatta Eels vs North Queensland Cowboys Tips - Back Cowboys to cover line

  • Round 23 fixture set at Cbus Super Stadium on Saturday
  • Both teams are struggling 
  • The Eels have lost 4 in a row and 5 of 6
  • The Cowboys are out to end their 9-game losing streak
cowboys NRL
The struggling Cowboys are tipped to cover the line against the Eels. (Ian Hitchcock/Getty Images)
Oh boy, Parramatta’s season has gone to seed rather quickly, even if there is now an inevitability about an Eels late-season slide.

The Eels have lost four straight and have fallen out of the Top 4 to sixth on the ladder. They have conceded 96 points in their last two. They have been held to 12 or fewer in five of their last six. It has been a significant fall from grace. 

Now coach Brad Arthur is under pressure. Arguably their player in the best recent form, Ryan Matterson, is now out suspended and won’t be seen again until the finals.

They will not get a better opportunity to turn things around against a hapless North Queensland team who have covered just six of 21 games this season and are entrenched in the bottom four. They have conceded 36-plus in five of their last seven.

It would take a game bettor though to take Parramatta at such a short quote or laying such a big start.

To kick things off, double digit favourites off a double digit loss have covered just 8 of 26 games across the last four years.

Parramatta have covered just three of 13 off a loss. They have covered just 10 of 28 off scoring 12 or fewer. They have covered at a clip of just 43% when favoured. They have managed to overrun the start when favoured off a loss.

North Queensland are hardly a reliable proposition this season but they cover at 57% when a double digit underdog.

Verdict

The Cowboys are the play in this one, particularly with the big start.

Best Bet: Cowboys +11.5 Line @-111.11 at BetMGM - 1 Unit
news image James Smith 19 Aug 2021 View more

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