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South Africa vs Australia Rugby Championship Tips - Springboks to cover line

  • Rugby Championship fixture will take place at Cbus Super Stadium on Sunday (11:05 BST)
  • South Africa have won their last 2 meetings against Australia
  • This is the first meeting between the two teams since 2019
springboks wallabies
South African players training ahead of their match against Australia on Sunday. (PATRICK HAMILTON/AFP /AFP via Getty Images)
Technically this is a home match for South Africa but it will be played in Australia. 

Despite their average record down under, the Springboks are an extremely well oiled unit at the moment. Considering Australia’s recent struggles, I’m backing South Africa to cover the -10 handicap.

South Africa are the number one ranked side in world rugby at the moment. They won the 2019 Rugby World Cup and then returned to beat the British & Irish Lions 2-1 post COVID.

The confidence in the Springbok ranks will be very high at the moment. Since beating the B+I Lions, they have beaten Argentina twice in the Rugby Championship. Those results have put them just a point off New Zealand at the top of the table.

In the first match against Los Pumas, South Africa rested 13 of their first choice players and still won 32-12. A week later, the stars returned which resulted in a 28-10 win. They only got the bonus point in the first game.

The Springboks did not play Australia in 2020, but their last two matches (2018 & 2019) resulted in comfortable wins for South Africa.

Australia have struggled this season, much like their franchises did prior to the international season. It began with a 2-1 series win over France but the French did send a squad without 19 first choice players.

The first Bledisloe Cup match against New Zealand seemed to bring some confidence back into their ranks. Despite a 33-25 defeat, the Wallabies showed much promise in that match.

Unfortunately, it has gone backwards since. The second Test ended in a heavy 57-22 defeat while the third saw them lose 38-21.

The biggest concern will be the sides’ lack of physicality, especially against a Springbok side that thrives on set piece dominance. They will have to tighten up their game against the green and gold or it could turn ugly on Sunday.

South Africa have won three of their last six matches against Australia. There was one defeat and two draws.

They last played in 2019 where the Springboks won 35-19 on home soil.

Verdict

South Africa have been in superb from while Australia continue to struggle. The value here is on the Springboks to win by more than 10 points.

Best Bet: South Africa -10.5 Line $1.91 at bet365 Australia - 1 Unit
  • Bookmaker
    Bet Type
    Odds
  • Bookmaker
    Bet Type
    South Africa -10.5
    Line
    Odds
    $1.91
news image James Smith 11 Sep 2021 View more

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06 December 2021

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